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Info IEB. IEB Analyses the Effect of COVID-19 on Employment in Spain. Númber 34. April 2020

The IEB researchers Gemma García and Esteban Sanromá have made a forecast based on a hypothetical scenario with respect to the duration of the confinement period. They have differentiated the intensity of the impact by branch of economic activity. Briefly, they specify that the primary sector and the food industry will not experience direct declines; in the manufacturing industry, they differentiate among the industries for which demand falls, is simply postponed or deferred, and for those that have registered increases. For most of the service industry, sharp declines are expected given falling demand.