{"id":404168,"date":"2021-04-13T09:44:38","date_gmt":"2021-04-13T07:44:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/publicaciones\/2021-04-what-is-at-stake-without-high-stakes-exams-students-evaluation-and-admission-to-college-at-the-time-of-covid-19-2\/"},"modified":"2021-04-13T09:44:38","modified_gmt":"2021-04-13T07:44:38","slug":"2021-04-what-is-at-stake-without-high-stakes-exams-students-evaluation-and-admission-to-college-at-the-time-of-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"publicacion","link":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/publications\/2021-04-what-is-at-stake-without-high-stakes-exams-students-evaluation-and-admission-to-college-at-the-time-of-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"2021\/04: What is at stake without high-stakes exams? Students&#8217; evaluation and admission to college at the time of COVID-19"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 inhibited face-to-face education and constrained exam taking. In many countries worldwide, high-stakes exams happening at the end of the school year determine college admissions. This paper investigates the impact of using historical data of school and high-stakes exams results to train a model to predict high-stakes exams given the available data in the Spring. The most transparent and accurate model turns out to be a linear regression model with high school GPA as the main predictor. Further analysis of the predictions reflect how high-stakes exams relate to GPA in high school for different subgroups in the population. Predicted scores slightly advantage females and low SES individuals, who perform relatively worse in high-stakes exams than in high school. Our preferred model accounts for about 50% of the out-of-sample variation in the high-stakes exam. On average, the student rank using predicted scores differs from the actual rank by almost 17 percentiles. This suggests that either high-stakes exams capture individual skills that are not measured by high school grades or that high-stakes exams are a noisy measure of the same skill.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":398499,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"tipologia_publicacion":[42],"linea_investigacion":[96,96,96],"class_list":["post-404168","publicacion","type-publicacion","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tipologia_publicacion-working-paper","linea_investigacion-public-policies"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publicacion\/404168","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publicacion"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publicacion"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publicacion\/404168\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/398499"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=404168"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"tipologia_publicacion","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tipologia_publicacion?post=404168"},{"taxonomy":"linea_investigacion","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ieb.ub.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/linea_investigacion?post=404168"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}